NEW AZ STATEWIDE POLL: Five Races, Five Clear Leaders — Biggs Dominant, Down-Ballot Races Set
Yee +8% · Norton +23% · Kolodin +24% · Petersen +15% · Biggs +56%

Yee +8% · Norton +23% · Kolodin +24% · Petersen +15% · Biggs +56%

This project summary covers the AZ-1 Republican primary survey conducted June 16–17, 2026 (n=695, MOE +/-3.9%). Jay Feely leads Joseph Chaplik 25%–23% (net +2) with 46% undecided

Complete statewide primary ballot test with deep demographic analysis — June 2026 This project summary covers the complete AZ Republican statewide primary survey conducted June 16–17, 2026

A new statewide benchmark survey of Republican primary voters in Arizona reveals a closely contested race for Superintendent of Public Instruction that is as much a proxy war over the direction of the Republican Party as it is a traditional primary. Incumbent Superintendent Tom Horne holds a narrow ballot lead at 30%, with State Treasurer Kimberly Yee running a credible second at 26%. With 43% of voters still undecided, the race is genuinely fluid — but the ideological geography of each candidate's coalition is already sharply defined.