Gregg PekauComplete statewide primary ballot test with deep demographic analysis — June 2026 This project summary covers the complete AZ Republican statewide primary survey conducted June 16–17, 2026
Gregg PekauA new statewide survey of Republican voters likely to vote in the upcoming GOP primary reveals that Arizona's 2026 Republican primary for State Treasurer is, at this early stage, essentially a blank slate. With Katherine Haley at 12% and Elijah Norton at 11%, the two candidates are statistically indistinguishable from one another — separated by a single point well within the margin of error. The defining feature of this race is not who is winning, but who is yet to be reached: 77% of Republican primary voters remain undecided, and both candidates are largely unknown to the electorate they are seeking to lead.