Arizona's Superintendent Race Is Heating Up.

Gregg Pekau

Published on: 22/04/2026

A new statewide benchmark survey of Republican primary voters in Arizona reveals a closely contested race for Superintendent of Public Instruction that is as much a proxy war over the direction of the Republican Party as it is a traditional primary. Incumbent Superintendent Tom Horne holds a narrow ballot lead at 30%, with State Treasurer Kimberly Yee running a credible second at 26%. With 43% of voters still undecided, the race is genuinely fluid — but the ideological geography of each candidate's coalition is already sharply defined.

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Chaplik Leads in Wide-Open AZ-CD1 Republican Primary

Gregg Pekau

Published on: 21/04/2026

A new survey of Republican primary voters in Arizona's 1st Congressional District reveals a competitive but wide-open field in the 2026 Republican primary for Congress. Joseph Chaplik leads with 24% of the vote, followed by Jay Feely at 15% and John Trobough at 6%. With 54% of primary voters still undecided, this race is far from settled — but the early data provide meaningful insights into the structural strengths and challenges facing each candidate.

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Petersen Holds a Narrow Early Edge

Gregg Pekau

Published on: 21/04/2026

A new statewide survey of Republican voters likely to vote in the upcoming GOP primary reveals that Warren Petersen leads Rodney Glassman 15% to 13% in the 2026 Republican primary for Arizona Attorney General — a margin within the survey's margin of error. The more consequential finding is that 71% of Republican primary voters remain undecided, and the cross- sectional data reveals distinct groups of voters — rural Arizonans, retired women, low-income households, and Trump skeptics — who have formed no opinion and represent concentrated opportunities for either candidate willing to reach them first.

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Andy Biggs Holds Insurmountable Lead in Arizona Governor's Race

Gregg Pekau

Published on: 16/04/2026

A new statewide survey of Republican voters who are likely to vote in the upcoming GOP primary in July reveals that Congressman Andy Biggs has established a commanding and structurally durable lead in the 2026 Republican primary for Governor of Arizona. With 52% of Republican primary voters already committed to Biggs — and his nearest competitor at just 10% — the race has taken on the character of a coronation rather than a competitive primary.

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